Chris Waller set to take Rosehill by storm   Leave a comment

Chris Waller set to take Rosehill by storm

Chris Waller has a runner in every race at Rosehill on Saturday. Picture: Jono Searle

Chris Waller has a runner in every race at Rosehill on Saturday. Picture: Jono Searle Source: News Corp Australia

SYDNEY’S premier trainer Chris Waller has the numbers and quality to dominate the Rosehill Gardens meeting on Saturday.

There are 77 runners due to compete in the eight-race program and 24 are trained by Waller. He has starters in every race, including six in the Schweppes Handicap and four entered for the Octagonal Handicap.

In early TAB Fixed Odds betting, Waller has the favourites in the TAB Place Multi Plate with Press Statement and the Octagonal Handicap with Amovatio.

TAB Fixed Odds is betting on the number of “Waller winners” at Rosehill on Saturday, with $51 offered about the champion trainer preparing six or more winners on the program.

“With Chris Waller lining up over 20 runners at Rosehill, including a runner in every race, he could train the card,’’ TAB spokesman Matt Jenkins said. “Our bookies rate that unlikely at $301, but stranger things have happened. Punters thinking he will train at least half the program with support for four or more winners at $4.”

Waller has twice led in five winners at a Rosehill Saturday meeting and TAB is betting $4.40 he can repeat that feat.

The most favoured option is for Waller to train either two or three winners at odds of $1.55, while TAB is betting $4.60 the trainer will win no more than one race.

Amovatio, centre, is among Chris Waller’s strong team at Rosehill. Picture: Mark Evans

Amovatio, centre, is among Chris Waller’s strong team at Rosehill. Picture: Mark Evans Source: News Corp Australia

BEST BARRIERS

The best winning barriers at Rosehill Gardens for the last three years.

(In order of most wins)

1200m: 7,2,8,6

1350m: 5,2,9,8

1400m: 2,7,1,8

1500m: 6,2,5,1

1800m: 6,4,1,3

1900m: 3,9,4,6

THE BIG BETS AND MARKET MOVERS ON TAB FIXED ODDS

Race 1: Press Statement is firm at $2.30 after a bet of $2,500 at $2.30.

Race 2: Missvonn is $7-$5-3 after a bet of $1000 at $7.

Race 4: Darci Magic is firm at $4.60 after two bets of $200 at those odds.

Race 6: Kaepernick has firmed from $4.60 to $3.20 after bets of $750 at $4.40 and $500 at $4.20.

Race 8: Off The Rails has firmed from $15 to $11 after bets of $300/$200 at $13/$4, and $100 each-way at $11/$3.50. Got The Goss is $8 to $6 after bets of $200 at $8, $800 at $7, $300 at $6.

EARLY QUADDIE

Race 1: 1,2,4

Race 2: 2,3,4,7

Race 3: 1,2,8,9

Race 4: 1,2,7,8

Suggested bet: $20

Bet percentage: 10.41%

QUADDIE

Race 5: 3,8,9

Race 6: 4,5,6,7

Race 7: 2,3,8,9

Race 8: 2,4,11,13

Suggested bet: $20

Bet percentage: 10.41%

PRICE CHECK

Intimate Moment (race 4) might have found the 2000m just out of her range when fifth to boom galloper Silverball last start. She is back to 1800m on Saturday which is more suitable, she is very fit after a consistent autumn campaign, and at $6 she seems over the odds.

TRIAL POINTERS

Dizzy Diva (race 1) hasn’t been knocked about in two barrier trials, the most recent when fifth at Rosehill two weeks ago. Well-bred filly who is a granddaughter of 2005 ATC Australian Oaks winner Dizelle. She is a very stylish mover and is expected to be very competitive on debut.

Bascule (race 6) tuned up for his return to racing with an easy trial behind the brilliant Brazen Beau at Rosehill two weeks ago. Handy galloper on his day and he has sprinted well fresh at his two previous preparations. Important to note he has been gelded since his summer campaign.

WORK WHISPERS

Kaepernick (race 6) worked within himself on the Rosehill Pro-Ride last Saturday, recording 1m12.98s for 1000m, with a final 600m sectional of 42.47s. He was asked to do a bit more on Thursday morning on the same track, running 1000m in 1:10.22s, with a closing 600m in 39.66s. Very fit and has trained on well since his brilliant first-up win three weeks ago.

Kaepernick has been working well after scoring an impressive first-up win.

Kaepernick has been working well after scoring an impressive first-up win. Source: Getty Images

Hollywood Bound (race 7) produced one of the best gallops of the morning at Rosehill on the Pro-Ride on Tuesday when she stopped the clock at 1m09.6s for 1000m, including a final 600m in 39.8s. She did an easier piece of work on the grass on Thursday and is at her peak for Saturday’s race.

THE BEST BET

Promising Alegria (race 3) finished powerfully to beat Campania in an impressive comeback effort at Warwick Farm earlier this month. She defeated older mares that day and runner-up Campania has since won well at Randwick to frank the form. Alegria, the winner of two of her only three starts, is very well suited back in fillies grade on Saturday and with Brodie Loy’s 3kg claim, she is weighted to win.

EACH WAY

Mighty Lucky (race 5) struck trouble mid-race and should have finished closer behind the talented Artlee in the Luskin Star Stakes at Scone. He was having his first run in eight weeks and will improve. Significantly, he has a very good second-up record, races well at Rosehill and is better suited at 1400m. Great each-way value at $15.

THE JUDGMENT

ROSEHILL GARDENS

RACE 5: OCTAGONAL HCP (1400m)

Lionel Cohen (trainer) Aeronautical: “We hit the front early when the others fell away and I don’t know how much inferior the inside was to the outside but it appeared to be that way (sixth behind Lumosty last week). He’s taken his race well so I thought I would put him in and see what happens.

Tim Martin (trainer) Skip Town: “I’m very happy with him and his two runs back have been great. He likes racing at Rosehill. I’d say he’s three lengths better there so I’m quietly confident. The track was a bit too firm for him last start and he doesn’t like it too heavy either so the soft surface will suit him.”

Glenn Munsie (TAB): “A nice race here for Rugged Cross. Returned from a spell to win at Randwick then went down to Pheidon at Warwick Farm. Just over three weeks off and comes back to 1400m, which is a plus. Rain Affair puts the pace on so they scoot along. Stablemate Amovatio looks the danger after a handy first-up run, while Skip Town is ready to go third run back.’’

Grant Palmer (bookie): “I didn’t think we would be saying this again but starting to get a bit keen on Rain Affair. He showed more pace than he has for two years last start and finished well higher in the day’s rankings than he has for some time. He is now rock-hard fit, can get away with it in front and today can be his day!’’

Blake Johnston (bookie): “Aeronautical was OK at Flemington where he didn’t have the best of luck and was seven weeks between runs. His run in the Newmarket Handicap says he is hard to beat.’’

Terry Kennedy (Sky Sports Radio): “Unfortunately Rain Affair and Aeronautical aren’t the forces they used to be. I can’t trust You’ll Never to perform again, so I’m left with Rugged Cross on top in a hard race.’’

Verdict: RUGGED CROSS

Rugged Cross will appreciate the drop back to 1400m on Saturday. Picture: Mark Evans

Rugged Cross will appreciate the drop back to 1400m on Saturday. Picture: Mark Evans Source: News Corp Australia

RACE 6: TAB.COM.AU SPRINT (1200m)

Chris Waller (trainer) Bascule, Avonaco: “Bascule has won first-up previously. He has always shown ability but he has been gelded since he last raced because it looked like he was not giving his best. I’m happy with how he is coming up this preparation. Avonaco is fit and racing well. He did a good job to win at Scone.’’

Michael Hawkes (trainer) Kaepernick: “Kaepernick should be winning or going very close. Since we decided to ride him a bit quieter, he has been hitting the line better. He’s a young horse with nice ability going through the grades.

Glenn Munsie (TAB): “Nice types in Grunderzeit and Kaepernick to battle this out, with a preference for the Godolphin runner. Resumed for an easy win at Canterbury and only real blemish on his form card is when he led here over 1400m behind Gold Seventy Seven. Kaepernick is another winner first-up when run to suit and gets similar event here. Crooked Blaze best of rest.’’

Grant Palmer (bookie): “It will be very interesting in monitoring betting and yard reports about Bascule. He did very well at Flemington first-up last time in numbers that have him right in this, so if the indicators are there — we are with him. If not, hard to disagree with the market with Grunderzeit and Kaepernick the top picks, with our leaning to Grunderzeit.’’

Blake Johnston (bookie): “Bascule has form around some good horses from last preparation and has been gelded since last seen. He looked good in a recent trial behind Brazen Beau and can win at each-way odds.’’

Terry Kennedy (Sky Sports Radio): “Kapernick has good second-up form, Grunderzeit should improve on his first-up win. The gelding of Bascule could be his making, he’s got class and I like him first-up.’’

Verdict: BASCULE

DOOMBEN

RACE 7: QUEENSLAND OAKS (2200m)

Kris Lees (trainer) Rustic Melody: “Naturally, we would have preferred to have drawn in closer, but it is what it is. A number of the fancied runners have drawn wide, and there looks to be a fair bit of pace in the race. It appears to be one of the better Queensland Oaks in recent years, but I certainly haven’t sold out because of the draw. I’m sure she will be competitive.’’

Bjorn Baker (trainer) Sebrina: “There isn’t much we can do about what happened at Randwick. We have a Hall of Fame jockey in Glen Boss on board this time so we are very happy going into the race.’’

Glenn Munsie (TAB): “With the scratching of Bohemian Lily it does take some pace out. Value runner is Zarzali. Ran on well behind Ballet Suite and Bohemian Lily here three weeks ago and was OK in both Adrian Knox and ATC Oaks. Winx did start favourite in the ATC Oaks and is advantaged by the fact this is only 2200m. Comes off a phenomenal win at Sunshine Coast in Guineas and is new kid on block. Great roughie Rustic Melody.’’

Grant Palmer (bookie): “Whilst we don’t by any means hate her, we are obliged to take on Winx. Big win off a totally different track that was bias assisted and at her odds means we have to risk her. But then again, she could easily be just too many classes above them and blow them away.’’

Blake Johnston (bookie): “Sebrina should have won last week where she had no luck getting clear running. She brings fresh form lines to the race and is sure to measure up.’’

Terry Kennedy (Sky Sports Radio): “If this was at Eagle Farm Winx would be a moral, but hard to see Doomben suiting her style considering the short quote. Ballet Suite has drawn badly. Sebrina maps well and is attractive odds.’’

Verdict: WINX

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Posted May 30, 2015 by belesprit09 in Uncategorized

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