Will Lumosty Gain A Start?   Leave a comment

Will Lumosty Gain A Start?

Plenty of conjecture surrounds Robert Smerdon’s talented filly and whether she will gain a start in the Group 1 Stradbroke Handicap.

Lumosty

Lumosty Photo by Racing and Sports

Lumosty currently sits at number 31 in the order of entry released on Monday morning and after some debate in the office, we are of the opinion she is likely to gain a start.

Following his win in the Doomben 10,000 trainer Chris Waller indicated Boban Horseform is an unlikely starter in the feature event.
“He’s going to be topweight and that makes it hard, so I don’t know,” Waller said.

“I’d think we might give him a good spell and try the same thing in the spring.”

Obviously plans can change, however under the handicap conditions it is unlikely he can defeat either Charlie Boy Horseform or Generalife Horseform and hence we feel he will be saved for the Spring.

Ultra consistent mare Catkins Horseform is another near the top of the weights who we feel is unlikely to run, given she can run in the more suitable Dane Ripper Stakes on the same day.

The Group 1 Tatts Tiara is again her main target and this appears a more logical pathway.

Flamberge Horseform, Trust In A Gust Horseform, River Lad Horseform, Hucklebuck Horseform, Lucky Hussler Horseform, Our Boy Malachi Horseform, Gregers Horseform, Under The Louvre Horseform and Speediness Horseform are all reportedly out of the event.

So if then we are correct in regards to both Boban and Catkins, that now leaves Lumosty at number 20 in the order of entry, gaining her a position as the fourth emergency.

Of the remaining 20 a few question marks still surround a few other runners which include Scissor Kick Horseform, Fontelina Horseform, Fast ‘N’ Rocking Horseform, Vain Queen Horseform and El Roca Horseform.

Scissor Kick was quite disappointing over the weekend, as was Fontelina who finished towards the tail behind Boban.

Fast ‘N’ Rocking has not been seen since finishing fifth in the BRC Sprint and this would be only the second time in his career that David Hayes has taken him to the races sixth up.

El Roca is nominated to contest the QTC Cup on Saturday and will be looking to reaffirm himself as a leading chance in the feature event.

Notably well below his best first up, if El Roca was again to perform poorly we feel it is unlikely that Busuttin would press on with his preparation.

As for Vain Queen she has never been tried beyond 1200m and hence we are happy to label her an unlikely starter.

This leaves Lumosty right on the cusp of gaining a start at number 17.

She will still need a few things to go her way, but her chances have drastically improved over the weekend.

2015 Stradbroke Handicap – Likely Field

Horse Age Trainer Ballot Weight Running
1 BOBAN 5 Chris Waller 1= 58kg Unlikely
2 HOT SNITZEL 6 Peter & Paul Snowden 1= 55.5kg Yes
3 FLAMBERGE 5 Peter G Moody 1= 55kg No
4 SACRED STAR 5 Tony Pike 1= 55kg Yes
5 CATKINS 5 Chris Waller 5 54.5kg Unlikely
6 TRUST IN A GUST 4 Darren Weir 6 56.5kg No
7 RIVER LAD 7 Natalie Mccall 7 56kg No
8 HUCKLEBUCK 4 Phillip Stokes 8 56kg No
9 LUCKY HUSSLER 5 Darren Weir 9 56kg No
10 SRIKANDI 4 Ciaron Maher 10 53kg Yes
11 SMOKIN’ JOEY 7 Wez Hunter 11 54.5kg Yes
12 GENERALIFE 5 John O’Shea 12 54.5kg Yes
13 TEMPLE OF BOOM 8 Tony Gollan 13 54.5kg Yes
14 LORD OF THE SKY 4 Robbie Laing 14 54kg Yes
15 SCISSOR KICK 3 Paul Messara 15 52.5kg Unsure
16 OUR BOY MALACHI 6 Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes 16 54kg No
17 CHARLIE BOY 4 Peter & Paul Snowden 17 54kg Yes
18 GREGERS 4 David Hayes & Tom Dabernig 18 52kg No
19 KNOYDART 5 John O’Shea 19 54kg Yes
20 DELECTATION 3 Chris Waller 20 52kg Yes
21 BIG MONEY 5 Rodney Northam 21 53.5kg Yes
22 BLACK HEART BART 4 Vaughn Sigley 22 53.5kg Yes
23 UNDER THE LOUVRE 4 Robert Smerdon 23 53.5kg No
24 STRAWBERRY BOY 6 Chris Waller 24 53.5kg Yes
25 FONTELINA 6 Anthony Cummings 25 53.5kg Unsure
26 SPEEDINESS 7 Colin Scott 26 53.5kg No
27 EL ROCA 4 Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young 27 53.5kg Likely
28 KURO (NZ) 3 Joseph Pride 28 51.5kg Likely
29 FAST ’N’ ROCKING 4 David Hayes & Tom Dabernig 29 53kg Unsure
30 VAIN QUEEN 5 John Sadler 30 52kg Unsure
31 LUMOSTY 3 Robert Smerdon 31 50.5kg Yes
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Posted May 27, 2015 by belesprit09 in Uncategorized

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