Autumn by the Odds   Leave a comment

Autumn by the Odds

A concentrated focus on where the smart money is going each week.

A concentrated focus on where the smart money is going each week. Source: Supplied

A SNAPSHOT of what’s hot and what’s not in early betting and where the smart money is going and why as autumn racing kicks into overdrive.

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 8

Star hoops battle for supremacy

GODOLPHIN stars Contributer and Hartnell are sure to capture the spotlight at Randwick on day two of The Championships as they try to repel a host of international raiders, but the battle of the jockeys will also be a highlight.

Star jockeys Craig Williams, James McDonald and Joao Moreira all have a strong book of rides for the star-studded meeting. TAB has opened a number of special performance-based markets on Moreira and Williams in the Group 1 races on Saturday.

The pair have a ride in each of the four Group 1s, with Williams paying $2.35 to taste success in at least one of them. Moreira is returning a very healthy $15 if he can weave his magic and secure two or more Group 1s on the day.

Finally, it wouldn’t be a day at The Championships without having a performance-based market on champion trainer Chris Waller, who is $2 with TAB.com.au to walk away with at least one major victory.

TUESDAY, APRIL 7

Provincial final wide open

THE Provincial Championship Final at Royal Randwick on Saturday is set to be a very competitive affair.

Trainer Kris Lees will have a strong hand in the final, saddling up six runners, however, TAB’s Fixed Odds market hasn’t put any of his horses under double figures.

Magic Of Dreams is on the sixth line of betting behind Harmonic and Sure And Fast ($4.60), Darci Magic ($6.50), O’Reillys Revenge ($8.50) and Oxford Poet($8.50).

If you fancy having a punt on the Provincial Championship Final, TAB will release a number of exotics markets during the week including ones on Lees’s runners and ‘Winning Qualifying Track’, with the latter already open.

SATURDAY, APRIL 4

Protectionist certainly not forgotten

HARTNELL and Godolphin are eyeing off the Sydney Cup on Day Two of The Championships but is the forgotten horse Protectionist?

The Melbourne Cup winner did open up favourite for the Cup when futures markets first came out, however, having been unplaced in his runs back from a spell he has fallen slightly out of favour with punters.

Hartnell is $2.80 favourite, while Protectionist is on the third line of betting at $6. TAB reports that one customer did have $1000 @ $6 on Protectionist to win the Sydney Cup.

Tarangower still attracting plenty of interest ahead of his big assignment on Monday. Pic

Tarangower still attracting plenty of interest ahead of his big assignment on Monday. Picture: Simon Bullard Source:News Corp Australia

THURSDAY, APRIL 2

Tarangower has the power

THE Country Championship Final at Royal Randwick on Saturday will have a capacity field, and the action is set to come thick and fast.

Despite the race not being a Group 1 it is set to be one of the highlights on the day. TAB has Tarangower favourite at $4.60 and customers are jumping at the chance to secure the price about the Paul Messara-trained runner. Of the money taken on Thursday, Tarangower accounted for 37 per cent of it.

The Provincial Championship Final will be held on day two of The Championships on Saturday week. It is expected to be one of the features of the carnival.

WEDNESDAY, APRIL 1

Gosford packs plenty of punch for punters

THE meeting at Gosford on Thursday won’t be your run of the mill program.

There’s the final Provincial Championship Qualifier to get excited about and also the Gosford Guineas, which is set to showcase some very talented three-year-olds.

Meursault is the $3.80 favourite with TAB Fixed Odds for the Guineas, which has attracted a field of 10. Supreme Effort ($4.60) is at the top of the market in the Provincial Championship Qualifier. The Kim Waugh-trained runner was holding about 33 per cent of all investments on the race late Wednesday.

TUESDAY, MARCH 31

Hopefuls line up for last shot at final

GOSFORD’s meeting on Thursday takes on extra significance for many owners, trainers and riders who have an eye on day two of The Championships.

Race seven — the Provincial Championship Qualifier — provides the last chance for horses to make their way through to the Provincial Championship Final at Royal Randwick on April 11. Supreme Effort ($4.60) is the TAB Fixed Odds favourite for the race ahead of Mana Manu ($5), Footy Fan ($6) and Tears in Heaven ($8). Those four are the only horses under double figures.

If playing the exotics is more your go then why not have a crack at the BIG6? Taking in the last six races on the card, the opening leg will be the Battlefield Challenge Maiden Handicap at 2.15pm. TAB has even boosted the BIG6 pool to the tune of $100,000.

SUNDAY, MARCH 29

Artlee shoots to top of CC final market

LOCAL galloper Artlee booked his spot for the Country Championship Final at Randwick on Saturday by taking out the Wild Card at Muswellbrook on Sunday afternoon.

The Todd Willan-trained bay gelding opened $7.50 for Sunday’s event last Friday with TAB Fixed Odds and was $4.20 when the barriers opened.

It was the fifth victory from eight starts for the four-year-old son of Excellent Art, who has firmed from $51 into $6 for next week’s championship.

The other Wild Card spot went to Rose’s Song, who has tightened from $301 into $101 after finishing second for jockey Jay Ford and Canberra-based trainer Steven O’Brien.

Tarangower holds favouritism at $4.60 with Artlee now sharing the second line of betting at $6 with Voodoo Lad.

SATURDAY, MARCH 28

Punters wild about Artlee

ARTLEE is being favoured by punters to take out the Wild Card of the Country Championships at Muswellbrook on Sunday.

This will be the last chance for horses, trainers and jockeys to book themselves a ticket to Royal Randwick on April 4. Artlee opened at $7.50 with TAB.com.au and has been backed into $6. It holds about 40 per cent of all investments on the race.

Others that have had some support include In A Wink ($6) and Royal Jackpot($3.80).

FRIDAY, MARCH 27

Artlee leads charge for wild card

ARTLEE ($7.50 to $6.50) has attracted the early attention to win Sunday’s Country Championships Wild Card race at Muswellbrook. In what looks like an open race,Royal Jackpot ($4.20) is the favourite.

King Derota, who was a $400 purchase, is $13 and is set to be a popular pick. ThePeter Stanley-trained galloper was second favourite to claim the Bathurst qualifier before being scratched at the barriers.

He now gets a second chance to make the final in the $50,000 Wild Card race at Muswellbrook. The ear muffs will go on King Derota in an attempt to keep the five-year-old calm and give him every chance of victory. He has since had a barrier trial, which resulted in a win over 1000m at Dubbo.

THURSDAY, MARCH 26

Albury takes centre stage

Albury’s two-day carnival got off to a solid start on Thursday. Friday’s meeting is set to be even bigger with the Albury Guineas, Albury Gold Cup and Albury Flat Knacker.

Doncaster dreaming

Will Saturday’s Doncaster Mile Prelude at Rosehill provide a clearer picture to next month’s famous mile at Randwick?

Last season it was the Chris Waller-trained Weary who won the Prelude before going on to finish third to stablemate Sacred Falls in the rich Doncaster Mile.

Waller could again play a pivotal role in the Prelude as he saddles up Bull Point,who is a $6 chance with TAB Fixed Odds.

Weary won the Doncaster Prelude last year before going on to run third in the Doncaster M

Weary won the Doncaster Prelude last year before going on to run third in the Doncaster Mile. Picture: Simon BullardSource: Supplied

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 25

World domination

JAPANESE horses could take the major spoils in The Championships next month. Having won the Caulfield Cup last spring with Admire Rakti, they struck a blow last week when Real Impact won the George Ryder Stakes.

Now To The World has been heavily backed in early betting not only to win Saturday’s The BMW, but also the Queen Elizabeth Stakes ($6). Tosen Stardom, second in the Ranvet Stakes last weekend, is an $8 chance in the same race.

Real Impact ($6) is favourite to take out the Doncaster Mile, while fellow raiderWorld Ace is also in the market at $15.

Fellow international, Dominant, from the powerful John Moore stables in Hong Kong, is at $11 with TAB Fixed Odds to win the Sydney Cup.

Sound the alarm

Keep a close eye on Harmonic in Thursday’s Provincial Championships Qualifier at Hawkesbury. TAB has reported good money for Tony McEvoy’s representative ($4.60-$4.20). Almost half of all investments on the race sit with the six-year-old.

This will be the second attempt for Harmonic to get through to the April 11 decider at Royal Randwick. He was well in the market at the Kembla qualifier but got cast in the stalls and was a late scratching.

TUESDAY, MARCH 24

Harmonic hits right note

THERE are just two Provincial Championship Qualifiers remaining until the final at Randwick on April 11.

The first of them will be at Hawkesbury on Thursday. As has been the case for all the Championship Qualifiers, a big field will line up in pursuit of a spot in the final.

TAB.com.au has installed the Tony McEvoy-trained Harmonic as the $4.60 favourite ahead of Footy Fan ($6), Kayjay’s Joy ($7) and Loyalist ($8), whilePowerline ($9.50) is the only other runner under double figures.

The eight-race card will start at 1pm. The $100,000 Championship Qualifier, race six on the program, will jump at 4:05pm.

SUNDAY, MARCH 22

Dane plunge on the money

LOCAL galloper Dane De Lago landed a good plunge but had to do it the hard way coming from last in the Country Championship Qualifier at Dubbo.

The Peter Nestor-trained gelding — who has overcome a myriad of injuries including a cracked pelvis — opened $15 on Thursday with TAB Fixed Odds and was as short as $6 on Sunday before closing $8.

This was the third victory from 11 starts for the four-year-old grey by Danzero and it sees him book his ticket for the final at Randwick on April 4.

Dane De Lago was $201 minutes before the Country Championship Qualifier and is now rated a $26 chance with runner-up Yes Zariz — trained at Gilgandra by Bruce Parker — is still $51.

Tarangower and Without A Shadow are the equal favourites at $4.60 withBinalong Road, Just A Blur and Voodoo Lad all $6.

SATURDAY, MARCH 21

Dane all the rage for Dubbo

There’s been a good move for Dane De Lago at Dubbo on Sunday. The gelding opened at $15 and has been crunched in to $7.

The Peter Nestor-trained four-year-old is the most popular runner with TAB.com.au, accounting for approximately 33% of all investments on the Country Championship Qualifier.

Don’t forget that if you like having a shot at the BIG6 that TAB has kick-started the pool on the Dubbo program to the tune of $25,000.

THURSDAY, MARCH 19

Double the fun

Two Country Championship Qualifiers will take centre stage on Friday afternoon.

The racing at Goulburn and Grafton promises to produce plenty of fireworks as runners push for a berth in the Championship final at Randwick next month.

Royal Jackpot ($6-$4.80) has been the best backed to take out the Goulburn qualifier since TAB opened betting on Wednesday.

At Grafton, the early money has been for Youwaitandsee ($4.60). Hula Girl ($21-$15) has also been tried at odds.

Stratum Star set to shine

Moonee Valley’s Friday night meeting hasn’t been forgotten despite most of the attention this week focusing on the Golden Slipper at Rosehill.

Stratum Star ($2.50-$2.40), from the powerful Darren Weir stable, heads the market for the feature event of the night — the Alister Clark Stakes (2040 metres).

Some talented horses have taken out the race in previous years including Pheidon(2014), Philippi (2013) and Highly Recommended (2012).

Punters are also nibbling away at Chill Party ($7), Firehouse Rock ($8) andMagicool ($16).

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 18

Favourites well clear of Slipper rivals

Vancouver ($2.80) and Exosphere remain at the head of betting for Saturday’s Golden Slipper at Rosehill.

The pair, who have been at the head of the market for the past couple of weeks, have been the two most popular runners again in betting today.

This follows on from Tuesday’s betting activity after the barrier draw, where Vancouver drew 18 and Exopshere 10. The latter is $4.60 in to $4.20 today, while Vancouver is solid.

Of the others, TAB reports Ottoman ($51-$26) has firmed off the back of constant specking, while English, Furnaces and Haptic are all $13 out to $15.

Vancouver remains firm favourite for the Golden Slipper.

Vancouver remains firm favourite for the Golden Slipper. Source: Getty Images

Country calling

Betting on the Country and Provincial Championship Qualifiers has been hectic since the series commenced a few weeks ago and it isn’t expected to be any different at Goulburn and Grafton on Friday.

Turnover figures have been reported to be well in excess of corresponding fixtures from last season, showing that crowds and punters alike are warming to the concept.

In what appears to be a wide open affair at Goulburn for the Country Championship Qualifier, TAB has installed Royal Jackpot ($6) favourite. There will also be another Country Qualifier at Grafton on the same day.

Both meetings will give punters an extra incentive to have a crack at the BIG6 too, with a $25,000 jackpot to help kick-start the pool at each meeting.

TUESDAY, MARCH 17

Vancouver has work to do from wide gate

TAB has released several special markets on Saturday’s Golden Slipper at Rosehill.

Five exotic markets are available for TAB customers to have a bet on which complement the final field market already up and running.

The markets feature some of the heavy hitters in the Slipper, including Godolphinand Gai Waterhouse, while mixed in among these “Racing Extras” are a few head to heads.

Godolphin has four runners headed up by the second favourite Exosphere ($4.60), while the John O’Shea team will also be represented by Furnaces ($13), Haptic($15) and Ottoman ($35). Waterhouse, meanwhile, will be out to capture her sixth Golden Slipper but the task has been far more difficult after race favouriteVancouver ($2.80) drew the carpark.

MONDAY, MARCH 16

Newmarket next cab off rank in provincial series

BETTING on the Wednesday’s Group 3 Newmarket Handicap and the Provincial championship qualifier opened on Monday with some early betting activity.

Gypsy Diamond is the favourite in the Newmarket in Newcastle, but punters have found the Gai Waterhouse-trained Countryman ($10 to $8).

The four-year-old Royal Academy gelding is dropping back from a mile at Warwick Farm where he finished fourth on March 4.

Oxford Poet ($3.50) heads the betting in the championships qualifier which is race 7.

Jimmy Says Yes ($15 to $13) has attracted one bet of $200 at $15.

SUNDAY, MARCH 15

Loved Up secures final berth

Loved Up stormed down the outside to claim the Wagga Wagga Country Championships qualifier after spotting the leaders a big start.

The lightly raced three-year-old filly, which started at $7 on TAB Fixed Odds, drew wide but proved far too strong over the final stages. The Albury-trained galloper has firmed from $26 to $15 to win the final at Randwick on April 4.

Runner-up Yet Tobe Convinced will also be off to Randwick and firmed from $51 to $26 to take out the final.

Tarangower ($4.60), who was second in the Tamworth qualifier on Thursday, remains favourite for the decider.

The next country qualifiers will be on Friday at Goulburn and Grafton.

SATURDAY, MARCH 14

Punters scout wide at Wagga

Loved Up and Dantains Spirit ($6) head the market in the Country Championship Qualifier at Wagga on Sunday.

TAB customers have been playing around the favourites, however, with Reka Outlaw ($15-$13) the best backed runner 24 hours out from the race. Yet Tobe Convinced ($11-$9.50) has also had backing, while Anotherwayout has had a sprinkling of support ($201-$71).

Don’t forget to have a crack at the BIG6 at Wagga. TAB has kickstarted the pool to the tune of $25,000. Being held on the last six races on the program, leg one gets underway at 2:30pm.

Hartnell takes top spot from Protectionist

Melbourne Cup winner Protectionist ($6) has been displaced as favourite for the Sydney Cup by Hartnell ($6-$4.60).

One of the many stars from the John O’Shea stable, Hartnell was ultra impressive in taking out the Sky High Stakes at Rosehill and heads the Cup market in front of Protectionist and Who Shot Thebarman, while Red Cadeaux ($8) and Rising Romance ($8) are the only other runners under double figures.

Hartnell firmed into favouritism for the Sydney Cup after his win in the Sky High Stakes

Hartnell firmed into favouritism for the Sydney Cup after his win in the Sky High Stakes at Rosehill on Saturday. Source:Getty Images

FRIDAY, MARCH 13

Wagga wide open

IT appears to be a wide open race in Sunday’s Country Championship Qualifier at Wagga.

TAB has released its market with the locally-prepared Dantains Spirit and Albury-based Loved Up heading the market at $6, with Escebee and Grand Allowanceclose behind at $8 respectively.

Punters have already begun outlaying their investments on the race and appear to be shopping for value, with High Opinion ($9.50), Yet Tobe Convinced ($11) andReka Outlaw ($15) all specked in the early stages of betting.

Kembla magic

Darci Magic was one of the more popular runners in Friday’s Provincial Championship Qualifier at Kembla Grange.

The Bede Murray-trained galloper ($9.50 to $5.50) held 22 per cent of the money and came with a barnstorming finish to beat O’Reillys Revenge ($9) and Parraay($10).

There was a sensation just before the start with second favourite Harmonic being scratched at the barriers. At the time, Harmonic was the most popular runner with TAB customers having held approximately 27 per cent of all investments.

TAB customers also splashed out on the BIG6 at the meeting with the pool getting past the $70,000 mark.

THURSDAY, MARCH 12

Gentlemen, start your engines

THE best sprinters in the land will clash down the famous Flemington straight in the Group 1 Newmarket Handicap (1200m) on Saturday.

Punters are with Lankan Rupee ($3) after he showed he was back to his brilliant best with a dominant win the in the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes (1000m) at Flemington on 21 February.

The five-year-old will shoulder top weight of 58.5kg, two kilos more than his nearest rival, Terravista (who resumes for the first time since winning the Group 1 Darley Classic down the same straight in November).

The big three from the Darley Classic in the spring — Chautauqua, Lankan Rupee and Terravista — are joined by three-year-old Brazen Beau.

Less than a length separated those three runners in the Darley Classic, and this is expected to be another thrilling race.

Kembla qualifier looks a bottler

BETTING on Kembla Grange’s Provincial Championship Qualifier on Friday has been positive with several runners specked. The best backed at this early stage isHarmonic ($4.60 to $4.20), for Tony McEvoy and Tim Clark, has been the most popular with TAB punters.

First-up, Harmonic hasn’t raced since winning at Hawkesbury on May 14 last year.

Rearing To Win ($51-$35) could be an interesting runner as its been specked at odds.

TAB has given punters an extra reason to have a shot at the BIG6 at Kembla with a jackpot of $50,000. Being held on the last six races on the program, the first leg is race three and set to jump at 2.20pm.

Voodoo magic at Tamworth

VOODOO Lad and Tarangower were the two most punters wanted in the Country Championship Qualifier at Tamworth on Thursday and Robert Thompson didn’t let them down.

TAB reports strong money for Voodoo Lad right throughout betting including a bet of $2000 @ $3.20. Thompson and Voodoo Lad duly saluted.

One punter has heavily supported Exosphere to win the annual juveniles’ dash for cash at

One punter has heavily supported Exosphere to win the annual juveniles’ dash for cash at Rosehill. Picture: Simon Bullard Source: News Corp Australia

THURSDAY, MARCH 11

Exosphere backed to win $300,000 in Slipper

GODOLPHIN colt Exosphere has been backed to win $300,000 in next week’s Golden Slipper.

One TAB customer plonked $50,000 @ $6 on the John O’Shea-trained youngster on Wednesday afternoon to take out the $3.5 million feature at Rosehill on Saturday week.

The wager forced Exosphere’s price into $4.60.

Gai Waterhouse’s Todman Stakes winner Vancouver still holds favouritism at $2.80.

Voodoo Lad has magic

TAMWORTH plays host to a Country Championship Qualifier on Thursday with a ripper field set to do battle over 1400m.

TAB reports good money for Voodoo Lad ($4.60 to $3.80), who is the current favourite over Artlee ($6) and Crooked Blaze ($7) for the feature event.

Betting is available on the winning region with the South-East and Hunter & Nth West heading the market at $2.80 each.

Heart of a champion: The famous heart-shaped marking on Lankan Rupee. Picture: Getty Imag

Heart of a champion: The famous heart-shaped marking on Lankan Rupee. Picture: Getty Images Source: Getty Images

Lankan closes the gap

TEAM Hawkes runner Chautauqua ($2.90) is holding slight favouritism over defending champion Lankan Rupee ($3.10) for Saturday’s Newmarket Handicap at Flemington.

Some smart money has seen the gap between the pair narrow afterLankan Rupee ($3.20 to $3.10) performed strongly in a workout at Caulfield.

Chautauqua shows plenty of fight to claim the Group 2 Rubiton Stakes on February 14. Pict

Chautauqua shows plenty of fight to claim the Group 2 Rubiton Stakes on February 14. Picture: George SalpigtidisSource: News Corp Australia

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Posted April 9, 2015 by belesprit09 in Uncategorized

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