Autumn by the Odds   Leave a comment

Autumn by the Odds

A concentrated focus on where the smart money is going each week.

A concentrated focus on where the smart money is going each week. Source: Supplied

A SNAPSHOT of what’s hot and what’s not in early betting and where the smart money is going and why as autumn racing kicks into overdrive.

WEDNESDAY, MARCH 18

Favourites well clear of Slipper rivals

Vancouver ($2.80) and Exosphere remain at the head of betting for Saturday’s Golden Slipper at Rosehill.

The pair, who have been at the head of the market for the past couple of weeks, have been the two most popular runners again in betting today.

This follows on from Tuesday’s betting activity after the barrier draw, where Vancouver drew 18 and Exopshere 10. The latter is $4.60 in to $4.20 today, while Vancouver is solid.

Of the others, TAB reports Ottoman ($51-$26) has firmed off the back of constant specking, while English, Furnaces and Haptic are all $13 out to $15.

Vancouver remains firm favourite for the Golden Slipper.

Vancouver remains firm favourite for the Golden Slipper. Source: Getty Images

Country calling

Betting on the Country and Provincial Championship Qualifiers has been hectic since the series commenced a few weeks ago and it isn’t expected to be any different at Goulburn and Grafton on Friday.

Turnover figures have been reported to be well in excess of corresponding fixtures from last season, showing that crowds and punters alike are warming to the concept.

In what appears to be a wide open affair at Goulburn for the Country Championship Qualifier, TAB has installed Royal Jackpot ($6) favourite. There will also be another Country Qualifier at Grafton on the same day.

Both meetings will give punters an extra incentive to have a crack at the BIG6 too, with a $25,000 jackpot to help kick-start the pool at each meeting.

TUESDAY, MARCH 17

Vancouver has work to do from wide gate

TAB has released several special markets on Saturday’s Golden Slipper at Rosehill.

Five exotic markets are available for TAB customers to have a bet on which complement the final field market already up and running.

The markets feature some of the heavy hitters in the Slipper, including Godolphinand Gai Waterhouse, while mixed in among these “Racing Extras” are a few head to heads.

Godolphin has four runners headed up by the second favourite Exosphere ($4.60), while the John O’Shea team will also be represented by Furnaces ($13), Haptic($15) and Ottoman ($35). Waterhouse, meanwhile, will be out to capture her sixth Golden Slipper but the task has been far more difficult after race favouriteVancouver ($2.80) drew the carpark.

MONDAY, MARCH 16

Newmarket next cab off rank in provincial series

BETTING on the Wednesday’s Group 3 Newmarket Handicap and the Provincial championship qualifier opened on Monday with some early betting activity.

Gypsy Diamond is the favourite in the Newmarket in Newcastle, but punters have found the Gai Waterhouse-trained Countryman ($10 to $8).

The four-year-old Royal Academy gelding is dropping back from a mile at Warwick Farm where he finished fourth on March 4.

Oxford Poet ($3.50) heads the betting in the championships qualifier which is race 7.

Jimmy Says Yes ($15 to $13) has attracted one bet of $200 at $15.

SUNDAY, MARCH 15

Loved Up secures final berth

Loved Up stormed down the outside to claim the Wagga Wagga Country Championships qualifier after spotting the leaders a big start.

The lightly raced three-year-old filly, which started at $7 on TAB Fixed Odds, drew wide but proved far too strong over the final stages. The Albury-trained galloper has firmed from $26 to $15 to win the final at Randwick on April 4.

Runner-up Yet Tobe Convinced will also be off to Randwick and firmed from $51 to $26 to take out the final.

Tarangower ($4.60), who was second in the Tamworth qualifier on Thursday, remains favourite for the decider.

The next country qualifiers will be on Friday at Goulburn and Grafton.

SATURDAY, MARCH 14

Punters scout wide at Wagga

Loved Up and Dantains Spirit ($6) head the market in the Country Championship Qualifier at Wagga on Sunday.

TAB customers have been playing around the favourites, however, with Reka Outlaw ($15-$13) the best backed runner 24 hours out from the race. Yet Tobe Convinced ($11-$9.50) has also had backing, while Anotherwayout has had a sprinkling of support ($201-$71).

Don’t forget to have a crack at the BIG6 at Wagga. TAB has kickstarted the pool to the tune of $25,000. Being held on the last six races on the program, leg one gets underway at 2:30pm.

Hartnell takes top spot from Protectionist

Melbourne Cup winner Protectionist ($6) has been displaced as favourite for the Sydney Cup by Hartnell ($6-$4.60).

One of the many stars from the John O’Shea stable, Hartnell was ultra impressive in taking out the Sky High Stakes at Rosehill and heads the Cup market in front of Protectionist and Who Shot Thebarman, while Red Cadeaux ($8) and Rising Romance ($8) are the only other runners under double figures.

Hartnell firmed into favouritism for the Sydney Cup after his win in the Sky High Stakes

Hartnell firmed into favouritism for the Sydney Cup after his win in the Sky High Stakes at Rosehill on Saturday. Source:Getty Images

FRIDAY, MARCH 13

Wagga wide open

IT appears to be a wide open race in Sunday’s Country Championship Qualifier at Wagga.

TAB has released its market with the locally-prepared Dantains Spirit and Albury-based Loved Up heading the market at $6, with Escebee and Grand Allowanceclose behind at $8 respectively.

Punters have already begun outlaying their investments on the race and appear to be shopping for value, with High Opinion ($9.50), Yet Tobe Convinced ($11) andReka Outlaw ($15) all specked in the early stages of betting.

Kembla magic

Darci Magic was one of the more popular runners in Friday’s Provincial Championship Qualifier at Kembla Grange.

The Bede Murray-trained galloper ($9.50 to $5.50) held 22 per cent of the money and came with a barnstorming finish to beat O’Reillys Revenge ($9) and Parraay($10).

There was a sensation just before the start with second favourite Harmonic being scratched at the barriers. At the time, Harmonic was the most popular runner with TAB customers having held approximately 27 per cent of all investments.

TAB customers also splashed out on the BIG6 at the meeting with the pool getting past the $70,000 mark.

THURSDAY, MARCH 12

Gentlemen, start your engines

THE best sprinters in the land will clash down the famous Flemington straight in the Group 1 Newmarket Handicap (1200m) on Saturday.

Punters are with Lankan Rupee ($3) after he showed he was back to his brilliant best with a dominant win the in the Black Caviar Lightning Stakes (1000m) at Flemington on 21 February.

The five-year-old will shoulder top weight of 58.5kg, two kilos more than his nearest rival, Terravista (who resumes for the first time since winning the Group 1 Darley Classic down the same straight in November).

The big three from the Darley Classic in the spring — Chautauqua, Lankan Rupee and Terravista — are joined by three-year-old Brazen Beau.

Less than a length separated those three runners in the Darley Classic, and this is expected to be another thrilling race.

Kembla qualifier looks a bottler

BETTING on Kembla Grange’s Provincial Championship Qualifier on Friday has been positive with several runners specked. The best backed at this early stage isHarmonic ($4.60 to $4.20), for Tony McEvoy and Tim Clark, has been the most popular with TAB punters.

First-up, Harmonic hasn’t raced since winning at Hawkesbury on May 14 last year.

Rearing To Win ($51-$35) could be an interesting runner as its been specked at odds.

TAB has given punters an extra reason to have a shot at the BIG6 at Kembla with a jackpot of $50,000. Being held on the last six races on the program, the first leg is race three and set to jump at 2.20pm.

Voodoo magic at Tamworth

VOODOO Lad and Tarangower were the two most punters wanted in the Country Championship Qualifier at Tamworth on Thursday and Robert Thompson didn’t let them down.

TAB reports strong money for Voodoo Lad right throughout betting including a bet of $2000 @ $3.20. Thompson and Voodoo Lad duly saluted.

One punter has heavily supported Exosphere to win the annual juveniles’ dash for cash at

One punter has heavily supported Exosphere to win the annual juveniles’ dash for cash at Rosehill. Picture: Simon Bullard Source: News Corp Australia

THURSDAY, MARCH 11

Exosphere backed to win $300,000 in Slipper

GODOLPHIN colt Exosphere has been backed to win $300,000 in next week’s Golden Slipper.

One TAB customer plonked $50,000 @ $6 on the John O’Shea-trained youngster on Wednesday afternoon to take out the $3.5 million feature at Rosehill on Saturday week.

The wager forced Exosphere’s price into $4.60.

Gai Waterhouse’s Todman Stakes winner Vancouver still holds favouritism at $2.80.

Voodoo Lad has magic

TAMWORTH plays host to a Country Championship Qualifier on Thursday with a ripper field set to do battle over 1400m.

TAB reports good money for Voodoo Lad ($4.60 to $3.80), who is the current favourite over Artlee ($6) and Crooked Blaze ($7) for the feature event.

Betting is available on the winning region with the South-East and Hunter & Nth West heading the market at $2.80 each.

Heart of a champion: The famous heart-shaped marking on Lankan Rupee. Picture: Getty Imag

Heart of a champion: The famous heart-shaped marking on Lankan Rupee. Picture: Getty Images Source: Getty Images

Lankan closes the gap

TEAM Hawkes runner Chautauqua ($2.90) is holding slight favouritism over defending champion Lankan Rupee ($3.10) for Saturday’s Newmarket Handicap at Flemington.

Some smart money has seen the gap between the pair narrow afterLankan Rupee ($3.20 to $3.10) performed strongly in a workout at Caulfield.

Chautauqua shows plenty of fight to claim the Group 2 Rubiton Stakes on February 14. Pict

Chautauqua shows plenty of fight to claim the Group 2 Rubiton Stakes on February 14. Picture: George SalpigtidisSource: News Corp Australia

Originally published as Autumn by the Odds

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Posted March 19, 2015 by belesprit09 in Uncategorized

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